Covid 3rd Wave: India Unlikely To Cross 4 Lakh Cases Per Day, Scientists Project
The latest analysis of the Covid-19 situation by scientists reveals that the overall peak of the third wave in India will arrive on January 23 but the daily case is unlikely to cross 4 lakh. Delhi, Mumbai have already reached their peak earlier in the second week of January, the Sutra model of Covid tracker said.
IIT professor Manindra Agrawal, one of the researchers of the Sutra consortium that has been working with Covid numbers since the beginning of the pandemic, said the trajectories have been changing across the country. There might be two reasons for that: One, the spread of Omicron among those with less immunity has slowed down as the population group is now exhausted.
Giving a statewise picture of the peak of the ongoing third wave, the model revealed that Mumbai reached its peak on January 12 and the numbers are now decreasing rapidly. Delhi peaked on January 16 and Kolkata on January 13. Bengaluru will reach its peak on January 22. According to the finding, Maharashtra, Gujarat and UP are predicted to peak on Jan 19, Assam on January 26.
“Hospitalisations continue to be very low. Uttar Pradesh, I understand, has less than 1% reported cases needing hospitalisation,” Prof Agrawal noted.
India on Tuesday recorded 2.38 lakh cases continuing the climbdown of the daily cases after reaching the highest of 2.6 lakh a few days ago.
Delhi authorities have been hinting at the plateau as the national capital saw its daily cases stabilising. On Tuesday, Delhi recorded 11,684 new infections and on Monday, the 24-hour tally was 12,527. On January 13, Delhi reported 28,867 Covid cases, the sharpest single-day spike.
Covid 3rd wave peak in these states and cities:
Assam: January 26
Bihar: January 17
Uttar Pradesh: January 19
Haryana: January 20
Gujarat: January 19
Maharashtra: January 19
Karnataka: January 23
Andhra Pradesh: January 30
Tamil Nadu: January 25
Bengaluru: January 22
Kolkata: January 13
Delhi: January 16
Mumbai: January 12
This is a mathematical projection by the Sutra consortium calculated based on Covid data. The Covid situation on the ground is evolving.